Council election results round-up

UPDATE:  Thanks to the BBC deciding to use a bizarre modelling of seats and gains/losses, the figures are shite.  This is now the longest post ever and the accurate ones will be posted below.  Why did the BBC decide to use the parties as they were before the election rather than the time-honoured results at the last elections approach?  Naturally, the Nationalists sense a Labour-biased plot.  But the Labour figures are wrong for Glasgow so the BBC has managed to upset them too.  Can we all complain please, in a hitherto unknown breakout of party unity?

The worrying thing is that everyone will rely on this, including the Electoral Commission, as an accurate and authoritative source.  Very poor show from the BBC.

I think I’ve fixed it all but if not, post a comment with the right result and I will amend accordingly.

A run through the state of the parties in every local authority area, with a few words of analysis:

Aberdeen

A great result for Labour with big gains at the expense of the Lib Dems but still no overall control.  SNP hoped to make gains but stood still – not bad considering they were lead partner in the city administration over a tough five years.

Who will run the council?  It’s a dilemma for Labour who won’t necessarily want to tie themselves in with the discredited Lib Dems.  Could they run as a minority with control and supply support from Tories and others?

BBC figs: Labour 16 (+9);  SNP 15 (no change);  Lib Dems 5 (-6); Conservatives 3 (-1);  Others 3 (-4)

The Steamie:  Labour 17, SNP 15, Lib Dems 5, Others 3, Conservatives 3

And from Mark McDonald MSP – it should be Labour 16 (+7); SNP 15 (+3); Lib Dems 5 (-10); Tories 3 (-2); Others 3 (+2) if based on 2007 election results….

Aberdeenshire

Still a No Overall Control council but a big change in political make-up.  SNP make big gains, Lib Dems whacked, Labour get a toe-hold and the Scottish Greens secure a seat through Martin Ford, who defected from the Lib Dems over the Trump controversy.  Despite this latter one being linked to the First Minister, it made no bearing on the SNP’s popularity.

Who will run the council?  SNP will be tempted to run as a minority administration, which could be difficult given the numbers, or make a coalition with the Green and independents.  Don’t rule out the Tories, Lib Dems and independents trying to stay in power.

BBC figs:  SNP 28 (+7); Conservative 14 (+1);  Liberal Democrat 12 (-9); Others 11 (-2);  Labour 2 (+2); Scottish Green 1 (+1)

(appear to be accurate, though I had a typo with a minus against the SNP instead of a plus.  Sorry)

Angus

Great result for SNP taking a majority in its old fiefdom and a seat from each of the other three parties.  SNP will run the council and the natural, electoral order of things appears to be restored.

BBC figs: SNP 15 (+3);  Others 8 (no change);  Conservative 4 (-1);  Labour 1 (-1);  Lib Dem 1 (-1)

(appear to be accurate…)

Argyll and Bute

A traditional independent area, they have slipped back and SNP has made gains.  Who will run the council?  Could end up with an unholy alliance of Independent/Tory/Lib Dem to keep the SNP out.  Problem for the SNP is that an administration with Lib Dem would still not be enough for a majority.

BBC figs: Others 13 (-3);  SNP 12 (+3);  Conservatives 4 (+2);  Lib Dems 4 (-2)

What the BBC site didn’t say (though I had picked it up elsewhere and should’ve blogged it), is that one ward is still to vote – Dunoon – and will do so next Thursday.  So 3 seats still to be decided).

Clackmannanshire

The country’s wee-est county, this could be the most intriguing result.  It’s all rather as you were with no overall control and the SNP and Labour on the same number of seats.  Labour  might argue “moral authority” as they gained a seat but SNP could hang on for a minority administration.

BBC figs: Labour 8 (+1);  SNP 8 (no change);  Conservatives 1 (no change);  Others 1 (no change);  Lib Dems 0 (-1)

(appear to be accurate)

Comhairle nan Eilean Siar

Every council election we are promised a party political breakthrough and?  Naw.  Independents rule, though many are in fact connected to parties.  The SNP did make some gains though.  Who will run the council?  The independents, who are in no way a group of course.

BBC figs: Others 21 (-4);  SNP 7 (+3);  Labour 3 (+1)

(appear to be accurate)

Dumfries and Galloway

Some suggestion that my homeland doesn’t much like party politics.  Labour emerges as largest group, thanks to losses for the Tories.  SNP stand still, “others” gain.  And on a personal note, I’m delighted that the SNP held my pops’ old ward – he retired this year after 20 years local service for party and community.

Who will form the council? It was a Tory-Independent administration last time round and still is no overall control.  Problem is the Tories are still likely to be needed if Labour wants to form a coalition….

BBC figs: Labour 15 (no change);  Conservatives 14 (-3);  SNP 10 (no change);  Others 7 (+5);  Lib Dems 1 (-2)

(appear to be accurate)

Dundee

A good result for the SNP, consolidating its hold on the city by securing a majority after running a minority administration over the last three years.   They will run the council for another five.

BBC figs: SNP 16 (+2);  Labour 10 (+2); Conservatives 1 (-2);  Lib Dems 1 (-1);  Others 0 (-1)

the Steamie:  SNP 16, Labour 10, Lib Dems 1, Independent 1, Conservative 1

East Ayrshire

The SNP has consolidated its hold on a key West of Scotland area and might now not need to rely on the Tories to run the council.  A minority administration beckons, with a bauble for the Independent.

BBC figs: SNP 16 (+1);  Labour 14 (-1); Conservatives 2 (-1);  Others 1 (+1)

the Steamie:  SNP 15, Labour 14, Conservatives 2, Independents 1

(this was probably my typo)

East Dunbartonshire

This council shows what the paucity of ambition can achieve.  Little change.  The SNP returned all its candidates, Labour gained directly from the Tories and finish in poll position.

Who will run the council?  A Labour, Lib Dem and Independent Alliance administration seems likely.

BBC figs: Labour 8 (+2);  SNP 8 (no change);  Lib Dems 3 (no change);  Others (East Dunbartonshire Independent Alliance) 3 (no change);  Conservatives 2 (-2)

(appear to be accurate)

East Lothian

One of the reversals of fortune for the SNP, even though it stood still.  Labour gained directly from the wipeout of the Lib Dems.

Who will run the council?  Labour could try for a minority administration, which might be more palatable than a link up with the Tories, particularly if it secures the support of the Independent.

Labour 10 (+3);  SNP 9 (no change);  Conservatives 3 (+1);  Others 1 (no change);  Lib Dems 0 (-4)

(appear to  be accurate)

East Renfrewshire

Now, how can it be that councils like Highland and Argyll and Bute which cover huge land masses and have to helicopter ballot boxes into the count, can produce their results before a tiny urban authority with a smattering of seats?  Even with a recount (in Highland).  The last council in Scotland to declare, there was a bit of shuffle around the margins but Labour is still the biggest group, the Lib Dems have nowt, the SNP did ok and the Tories only lost one.

Who’ll run the council?  Labour might want to run a minority administration but it will need the help of Independents to do even that.  Labour-Tory?  Labour-SNP?  Tory-SNP-Independents?  The phones will be red hot all weekend.

Labour 8 (+2);  Conservatives 6 (-1);  SNP 4 (+1);  Others 2 (-1);  Lib Dems 0 (-1)

(appear to be accurate)

UPDATE:  actually no, despite this being the last one put up by the BBC so they had hours to correct things, apparently the gains and losses are still wrong.  So says Stewart Maxwell MSP, and he’d know, you think.  So actual results:  Lab 8(+1);  Conservatives 6 (-1);  SNP 4 (+1); Others 2 (no change);  Lib Dem 0 (-1).

We’re done here.  Even if we aren’t.

Edinburgh

A tumultous result with the Lib Dem council leader, Jenny Dawe, losing her seat, the SNP depute council leader, Steve Cardownie, only scraping home on the 5th transfer,  and even Labour leader Andrew Burns, only getting in in 3rd place.  A good election for the Scottish Greens who return stronger and will no doubt play a key role in the horse trading ahead.  A disastrous outcome for the Lib Dems, the Tories stand still. Both Labour and the SNP made gains.

Who will run the council?  Who knows.  Labour has the moral authority as biggest group to try and seek to form a coalition. Here’s a novel thought – couldn’t SNP and Labour work together (with the Greens to hold the recyclable jaikets) to provide stability and dynamism to the country’s capital?

Labour 20 (+5);  SNP 18 (+5);  Conservatives 11 (no change);  Scottish Greens 6 (+3);  Lib Dems 3 (-13)

(appear to be accurate)

Falkirk

No change whatsoever.  Same as it was.  Don’t know why anyone bothered.

Who’ll run the council?  Think it was an SNP-independents administration previously which might well continue. (thanks to Kirsty Connell from Better Nation for clarifying that it was a Labour, Independent, Tory administration previously and will likely be so again).

Labour 14 (no change);  SNP 13 (no change);  Others 3 (no change);  Conservatives 2 (yep, no change)

(appear to be accurate)

Fife

Some vindication perhaps for the organisational capabilities of John Park MSP with Labour making huge gains in a direct transfer from the hapless Lib Dems, including winning a first ever seat in St Andrews.  The SNP was probably damaged by the Bill Walker affair in the Dunfermline wards.  And in a wee bonus, the only UKIP councillor in the land lost.  This is a very, very good result for Labour, even though the SNP also increased its tally.

Who will run the council?  Labour might not want to work with the Lib Dems but it might not have any choice.  A deal with the Independents in the region is still one short of a majority.

Labour 35 (+11);  SNP 26 (+4);  Libs Dems 10 (-11);  Others 4 (-2);  Conservatives 3 (-1);  UKIP 0 (-1)

(appear to be accurate)

Glasgow

BBC Scotland appears to have wiped out history by claiming this as a Labour gain from no overall control.  Hmm.  Now if the SNP hadn’t spun itself out of control with its claims to take the city, this would actually have been a very good result for them.  Labour down, the SNP up, no traction for Glasgow First and a Lib Dem meltdown.  Oh and the Greens held their own.

The real story of the day – an opportunity to reform, reshape and rejuvenate this most rotten of boroughs lost.  Though here’s hoping having had a big scare, Labour stops taking the people of the dear green place for granted.

Who will run the council?  Labour of course with its wafer thin majority.  I’d be insuring it with regular health check-ups for all councillors.

BBC figs last night: Labour 41 (-1);  SNP 27 (+7); Scottish Green 5 (no change);  Conservatives 1 (no change);  Lib Dems 1 (-6);  Others 1 (-7)

BBC figs today: Labour 44 (+5); SNP 27 (+7); Scottish Greens 5 (no change);  Conservatives 1 (no change);  Lib Dems 1 (-5);  Others 1 (-7)

the Steamie:  Labour 44, SNP 27, Green 5, Lib Dem 1, Conservatives 1, Independent 1

(now this is interesting.  I’m not stupid.  I did check back and forth between the figs while posting, and there has been the odd typo slipped through – pluses and minuses – which is why it seemed like compiling war and peace.  But the BBC figs have changed this morning.  Hmmm)

So in an attempt to provide clarity – ha!  In 2007, the result was:  Labour 45;  SNP 22;  Lib Dems 5;  Greens 5;  Tories 1 and Solidarity 1.  The Solidarity councillor defected to Labour (46);  2 defections from SNP (20) to Lib Dems (6) and Independent (1).  by-election resulted in SNP hold (20); another by-election and a Labour hold (46); 2009 by-election resulted in SNP (19) losing a seat to Labour (47).  Then we had the budget shenanigans.  Eventually, 9 Labour councillors resigned the whip (38) with one defecting to SNP (20) and 7 forming Glasgow First group.  What happened to the other one?!

So, at the start of the 2012 election, the state of the parties was:  Labour 38;  SNP 20, Lib Dems 6, Greens 5, Tories 1, Glasgow First 7 and Independent 2.  Any dissent?

And with results at 2012, Labour took 44 (+6 on 2012 or -1 on 2007); SNP 27 (+7 on 2012 or +5 on 2007)  Lib Dems 1 (-5 on 2012 or -4 on 2007);  Greens 5 (no change 2012 or 2007); Conservative 1 (no change 2012 or 2007);  Glasgow First 1 (-6 on 2012 or +1 on 2007)

At last, I think I’ve cracked it…. please feel free to disabuse me of this notion.

Highland

The only council result to produce a dramatic recount right at the end.  Both the SNP and Labour made some modest gains, with the SNP up to a very substantial grouping.  This also masked a few losses along the way, including a precious woman councillor in Pauline Munro.  But the Independents continue to rein supreme, with many Lib Dems removing their party cloak to ensure electability.  The only place in Scotland where the Lib Dems can still claim to have a substantial grouping.

Who’ll run the council? Same as always, it will be an Independent/Lib Dem coalition. (And whoever else wants in – at various points in the previous cycle, both SNP and Labour were involved).

Others 35 (no change);  SNP 22 (+4);  Lib Dems 15 (-6);  Labour 8 (+2)

(According to SNP election wise owl, Norman Will, the BBC interpretation of gains is wrong here.  SNP is up from 17 in 2007 so should show +5)

Inverclyde

Labour consolidated its hold on the area after years of flirtation with the Lib Dems.  The SNP took a wee step forward but not enough to have a go at forming an-anyone-but-labour coalition.

Who’ll run the council?  Labour is one shy of a majority, so will probably hook up with the Independent to make sure.

Labour 10 (+2);  SNP 6 (+1); Lib Dems 2 (-1);  Conservatives 1 (no change);  Others 1 (-1);  Liberal 0 (-1)

(appear to be accurate)

Midlothian

Another which kinda snuck in without remark.  Labour lost control of this authority with the SNP gaining.  It’s now no overall control but the SNP could form a coalition with the Scottish Green – elected for the first time – and the Independent.

Labour 8 (-2);  SNP 8 (+2); Scottish Green 1 (+1); Independent 1 (+1);  Lib Dems 0 (-2)

(appear to be accurate)

Moray

The SNP had high hopes for this local authority, having controlled it for many years.  But here’s a thing – it’s also the home turf of the party’s election supremo, Angus Robertson MP.  And not a single seat gained.  The Tories and Labour both gained a seat and surely bag negotiating rights for a coalition.

Who will run the council?  If the SNP and Labour could work together?  No, probably not.  My money’s on Independents and Conservatives coming together.

Others 10 (-2);  SNP 10 (no change);  Conservatives 3 (+1);  Labour 3 (+1)

(appear to be accurate)

North Ayrshire

A good result for the SNP making substantial gains to become the largest party on the council, demonstrating that some have built upon the extraordinary parliamentary successes in 2011.

Who’ll run the council?  Surely the SNP and the Independents will come together to form a coalition.

SNP 12 (+4);  Labour 11 (-1);  Others 6 (no change);  Conservative 1 (-1); Lib Dems 0 (-2)

(appear to be accurate)

North Lanarkshire

Ah yes, another defeat snatched from the jaws of victory.  The SNP touted this, locally at least, as one where they had a better chance even than in Glasgow of toppling Labour.  And again, spectacular gains are overshadowed by failure to live up to expectations.  Labour holds its majority comfortably.

Labour 41 (+1);  SNP 26 (+5);  Others 3 (-4); Conservatives 0 (-1);  Lib Dems 0 (-1)

(appear to be accurate)

Orkney

Twenty one seats all won by Independents.  No change.  Who’ll run the council?  All of them.

Perth and Kinross Council

The SNP still dominate but had hoped to gain a few more seats to make a majority.   For everyone else, it was all a little meh.  And Labour certainly have nothing to crow about here.

Who’ll run the council?  The SNP will probably team up with either the Lib Dems or the Independents.  Depending on the state of fraternal relationships ie do the others have enough in common to gang up against them, as the largest group by far, it could try a minority administration.

SNP 18 (no change);  Conservatives 10 (-1);  Lib Dems 5 (-2);  Labour 4 (+1);  Others 4 (+2)

(appear to be accurate)

Renfrewshire

A Labour triumph, not just because it took a majority of seats, but also because they took the seat of a Government Minister who just happened to be the former council leader.  Oh, and the SNP’s election campaign co-ordinator.  Oh dear.  One thing Alex Salmond has always realised and followed through on has been securing his own backyard, to reinforce his electability and fend off any question marks over his leadership qualities.  Take note, Derek Mackay.

Labour 22 (+3);  SNP 15 (-2);  Conservatives 1 (no change);  Lib Dems 1 (-2);  Others 1 (+1)

(appears to be accurate, though the Steamie might wish to note that it is not “Renfrew” council….)

Scottish Borders

There are no Labour councillors here at all.  The Lib Dems took a cuffing, the SNP made some gains but the Conservatives still ended up as the largest group overall.  A right mixed bag.

Who’ll run the council?  It will be a Tory/independent administration.  Though the SNP might want to try and form a coalition with the Independents and Lib Dems.

Conservatives 10 (-2);  Others 9 (+3);  SNP 9 (+3);  Lib Dems 6 (-4)

(appear to be accurate)

Shetland

See Orkney above.

Independents 22 (no change)

South Ayrshire

Labour made some small gains at everyone’s expense but the Conservatives still finished as the largest party.  Particularly saddened to see Tom Slider of the SNP lose his seat.

Who’ll run the Council?  Well, look at the stats below and you tell me.  Can the Tories run a minority administration (again)with Independents’ support?  Or could Labour and the SNP manage the impossible and come together to form a stable administration?

Conservative 10 (-2);  Labour 9 (+3);  SNP 9 (-1);  Others 2 (no change)

(appear to be accurate)

South Lanarkshire

Here’s another one where the SNP actually did very well but that performance has been masked by the failure to meet expectations.  Labour remain the largest group but the margin of difference between it and the SNP was reduced.

Who’ll run the council?  Labour has the moral authority and falls just short of a majority, so will seek a deal with the Independents and/or Lib Dem.

Labour 33 (+1);  SNP 28 (+4);  Conservatives 3 (-4);  Others 2 (no change);  Lib Dem 1 (-1)

(appear to be accurate)

Stirling

The SNP consolidated its position and became the largest party.  Mark Ruskell, former MSP, is back in politics being elected for the Scottish Greens and the Lib Dems were wiped out.

Who’ll run the council?  Probably an SNP minority administration, with issue by issue support perhaps from the Scottish Green.  But to avoid another budget fiasco where Labour and the Tories ganged up on the previous SNP administration, they’ll need to buy off the Tories as well at each financial round.  Of course, Labour and the Tories could reform their alliance from before the election.

SNP 9 (+2);  Labour 8 (no change);  Conservatives 4 (no change);  Scottish Greens 1 (+1);  Lib Dems 0 (-3)

(appear to be accurate)

West Dunbartonshire

A very good result for Labour taking control of the council again, in an almost direct transfer from the SNP, which lost a third of its seats.  Jim Bollan, the SSP councillor, lost held his seat despite with a strong 1st preference vote.  It will be interesting to see if Labour can make a better fist of it than previously – this was the council damned by Audit Scotland under the controversial Andy Whyte.

BBC figs at 10am: Labour 12 (+4);  SNP 6 (-3);  Others 2 (-1);  SSP 0 (-1)

BBC figs at 12 noon:  Labour 12 (+4);  SNP 6 (-3);  Others 3 (-1);  SSP 1 (no change)

This would now appear to be accurate.  And I have to say, I checked and re-checked their listing for Jim Bollan who had such a strong 1st preference vote it did seem strange he lost….  Thanks BBC.  And thanks for changing it too.  Not.

West Lothian

Another interesting one.  No one finished with an overall majority but Labour can claim moral authority with half the seats.  The SNP had run this council with support from Independents, but most of them lost their seats.

Who’ll run the council?  Labour will try for a minority administration or to secure a slender majority, give some baubles to the Independent or Tory.

Labour 16 (+2);  SNP 15 (+2);  Conservative 1 (no change);  Others 1 (-3)

I think, at last, I’m done.  Two words.  Never.  Again.

About burdzeyeview

A Scottish burd casting a beady eye over political, topical, economic and social issues that ruffle my feathers.

Posted on May 5, 2012, in Political witterings and tagged , , , , , , , , , . Bookmark the permalink. 33 Comments.

  1. Kate,
    Although the figures might look as if Labour lost a seat to the SNP, we didnt. We lost one of our seats to an independent (in Carnoustie, where the campaign seemed to revolve around people trying to out do each other on how much Carnoustie had been short-changed by the council over the years).

    In the time honoured against 2007 election way, Carnoustie went from SNP 2 Lab 1 to SNP 1 Ind 2 – in other words both the SNP AND Labour lost a seat to the independents here. (There was a bye election in 2011 after the retirement of an SNP councillor, which was won by an independent who kept his seat in 2012).

  2. Kate, the South Ayrshire results in 2007 were 12 con 9 Lan 8 snp 1 ind. The SNP were the only party to increase their representation. The labour group lost one third of their members after a north Ayr labour councillor, forged a council document and was aided and abetted by their depute leader.

  3. Dave McEwan Hill

    Argyll and Bute is quite complicated but an SNP led administration is the likeliest outcome. The “independents” split into three groups. The Dick Walsh led group which was in administration, the Argyll First Group (three councillors who won’t join a Dick Walsh group) and the Alliance of Independent Councillors who also wont have anything to do with a Dick Walsh coalition. Walsh’s coalition relied instead on a handful Tories and LibDems of which there is now fewer.
    The SNP has elected 12 councillors with one hopefully next week due to the postponed Dunoon Ward Election in which a sitting SNP councillor died after completing his nomination process. This is the ward in which Dick Walsh contests so he is not presently a councillor though he is almost certain to be re-elected.
    One of the independents elected in Oban has already thrown his lot in with the SNP. Other work is going on.
    The Dunoon Ward is interesting in so far as part of it it is one of the few wards in Argyll which has elected a Labour councillor in the past
    It has no history of SNP success and it has a high profile Labour candidate in Mick Rice who was senior Labour councillor in Birmingham before a number of colourful episodes brought his politcal career there to an abrupt end.
    With the papers crowing about Labour success this has become a more difficult ward for the SNP – especially with the ongoing disgust many in Dunoon (including most SNP members locally) feel about the SNP Government taking away their premier ferry service.
    SNP has a fabulous candidate however in Mike Breslin who has taken Argyll College from a tiny start to a multi million pound enterprise and part of the Highland University.

  4. You’re right Kate. The SNP really has to learn to stop with its hostage to fortune election predictions. There is a blurred line between arrogance and confidence but the predictions about Glasgow always looked more like hubris.

    A footnote on West Lothian. The SNP won the 1st preference vote by a clear margin (3%) yet ended up with 1 seat less than Labour and therefore, in all probability, will lose the administration. Who said STV was fairer? (I won’t bore you or your readers with the local circumstances that allow this to happen)

    • Someone was on at me to look at some local results to see if alphabetical order played a role! I might! And will include West Lothian if I do. What I don’t get about West Lothian (and a few others) is that the SNP did a great job running the council and the electorate seems to have ignored that (or perhaps not if 1st preferences taken it account). But clearly either very local circumstances or simply national ones have played a role with some results.

      • The basic issue in WL is that there are 3 3-member wards. The SNP has a historic advantage in 2 and Labour in 1. However the presence of a popular Tory in one of the SNP leaning seats and a popular Independent in the other means that it is extraordinarily difficult to press that advantage home in terms of seats. So instead of a couple of 2-1 SNP wins we get a couple of 1-1-1 ties.
        In the Labour leaning 3-member ward (the ward I contested) we managed a 9% swing but we were still some way short of turning the split of seats round.
        Had Bathgate not been increased from a 3-member to a 4-member ward, that would also have split 2 SNP, 1 Lab but, as expected, it went 2-2.
        All the 4-member wards split 2-2, although in Livingston North there was, in theory, a large enough SNP 1st pref majority to get our 3rd candidate elected.
        In the end we gained 2 seats (from Action to Save St John’s) and Labour gained 2 (1 from Action to Save St John’s and the new Bathgate seat) and we won the popular vote with a strong swing towards us. So the electorate actually endorsed what the SNP has done since 2007 but the rather unfortunate combination of 3-member wards and 3rd party personalities has prevented that from being translated into seats.

  5. I’d like to apologise up front for being picky and for the sheer number of these, given the stellar effort you put into this post.

    The seat counts for 2012 all seem to be accurate, but the changes from 2007 are wrong in many places – assuming you are going for that comparison!-, at least when compared to the individual council pages for 2007 results on Wikipedia. Some of the 2012 pages do, or at least did, appear to have a comparison in terms of immediate pre-election state results, just to confuse matters.

    I’ve plonked all the figures into a spreadsheet and they all add up to the correct values for the parties, so I’m assuming they are correct at individual council level.

    Angus – SNP are +2, not +3, having won 13 seats in 2007.

    Clackmannanshire – Labour and SNP are other way round, with 8 and 7 in 2007 respectively and thus a gain of 0 and +1.

    Dumfries and Galloway – Tories are -4, as they won 18 in 2007, and Labour are +1 as they won 14.

    East Lothian – SNP and Labour were tied at 7 in 2007, whilst the Lib Dems had 6 – that meant the gains from LD went 3, 2 and 1 to Labour, SNP and Tories.

    Edinburgh – the SNP are up 6 from 12 to 18, whilst the Lib Dems are down 14 from 17 to 3.

    Fife – Tories down 2 on 2007, dropping from 5.

    Highland – Labour up 1 from the 7 they won in 2007.

    Inverclyde – Labour are up 1 from the 9 in 2007 whilst the Lib Dems are down 2 from 4.

    Midlothian – Labour are down 1 from 9, Lib dems down by 3.

    Moray – SNP up 1 whilst Tories are static.

    North Ayrshire – Tories down 2 whilst Others are up 1.

    North Lanarkshire – +3 for the SNP and -2 for Others.

    Perth and Kinross – -2 for Tories, -3 for Lib Dems, +4 for others.

    Renfrewshire – +5 for Labour, -3 for the Lib Dems.

    Scottish Borders – -1 for Tories, +2 for Others.

    South Ayrshire – +0 for Labour, +1 for SNP, +1 for others.

    South Lanarkshire – +3 for Labour, -5 for Tories, -1 for others.

    West Dunbartonshire – Labour +2, others +1.

    • The reason very few are accurate in terms of change from 2007 is because of how BBC has modelled its results based on state of teh parties before the election. I sorted Glasgow but life really was too short to go through each and every one. Delighted that you have done it for me! Thanks!

  6. The Fife result is not entirely accurate from 2007: Mike Scott Hayward, the UKIP councillor who lost his seat, was elected as a Conservative in 2007 and defected before the 2010 General Election, and neither he nor his tory opponent managed to win a seat in the East Neuk ward, so the UKIP tally should probably be removed and the tory losses doubled to two.

    The Fife result disguises a poor SNP performance in west and central Fife, losing a seat directly to Labour in Glenrothes Central, but a stronger performance in the rural NE Fife constituency, where the historically strong tory vote took another major hit and the Lib Dems weren’t as badly demolished as in other parts.

  7. I would have no difficulty with an SNP-Labour coalition in Edinburgh as there are some decent folk in their council group.

  8. The independent in West Lothian is a former SNP councillor who fell out with the party over gradualism but I would expect him and the Tory provost Tom Kerr to support an SNP administration. We had a problem in that we overly concentrated upon 4 seat wards were with the benefit of hindsight we really needed to hammer into the three seat wards were there was a real battle for the third seat.

    • Have to disagree with this. The two 3-member wards where we might have had a chance had far and away the best run campaigns in West Lothian – there was very little value that additional resources could have added. If anything, more focus on the 4-member ward we came closest in might have tipped the balance.
      I wouldn’t expect the Independent to have any interest in supporting an SNP administration – the reason he left the SNP was because he thought he was going to join Labour but his application was blocked by those who couldn’t forgive his original ‘defection’ to the SNP.

  9. At some point does someone publish a breakdown of the postal votes?

    It’d be fascinating to learn the number of committed voters who happened to be on holiday.

  10. andywightman

    Don’t like to be a pedant but Glasgow is a Royal Burgh not a borough.

  11. Your opening line was great! And glad to see that someone has done the hard work allowing us lesser mortals to simply direct the statistically minded readers to here.

    As to the BBC figures… I ended up going onto other sites, even the Guardian which requires the reader to use quantum mathematic to understand the presentation of their figures.

  12. Hi kate east Lothian not correct there were 7 snp councillors elected 2007,6 lib dems,7 labour &2 tories so there was a gain of 2 for snp,3 for labour & 1 for tories yesterday based on 2007

  13. Your figures for Glasgow are surely wrong? And is ‘wafer-thin’ fair, no matter how hard it is to take?

  14. I don’t care about the numbers, just the analysis.

    I think my uncle got the most votes of any Highland candidate.

    Not sure the Highland SNP group will be too happy if the coalition continues.

    • They have a much bigger group and have a right -along with everyone else – to try and get a coalition going. We’ll see. A lot phone calls and meetings this weekend. All over Scotland methinks!

  15. Herald reports are pretty slanted today too.

    • SNP somewhat to blame for this due to over-hyped expectations. Was a great result for a party midterm with some great gains, over shadowed by where they said they’d do well and didn’t quite. Shame.

  16. Thanks Kate just saved me two hours in prep time for todays pod cast.

    • you are welcome Norrie but go back as I had to correct quite a few. BBC had lots of inaccuracies and because used position of parties just before election rather than at 2007 results, gains and losses might still be inaccurate. But I have a life, somewhwere!

  17. Agree about the BBC Scotland coverage. They really all should have been wearing red rosettes and be done with it! Cringeworthy. Not sure who the wee numpty guy was who was with Brewer on NN Scotland but he was jumping up and down with excitement and seemed determined to behave as if there had been an SNP wipe out.

  18. Great stuff, Kate.

    Labour is also part of the coalition in Highland. Under the very fine leadership of Inverness Provost, Jimmy Gray.

Leave a Reply

Fill in your details below or click an icon to log in:

WordPress.com Logo

You are commenting using your WordPress.com account. Log Out / Change )

Twitter picture

You are commenting using your Twitter account. Log Out / Change )

Facebook photo

You are commenting using your Facebook account. Log Out / Change )

Google+ photo

You are commenting using your Google+ account. Log Out / Change )

Connecting to %s

Follow

Get every new post delivered to your Inbox.

Join 7,095 other followers

%d bloggers like this: