Why Guido was wrong about Gordon

Today, I am mostly blogging elsewhere – at the wonderful Bella Caledonia actually. It’s a big, thoughtful (well I think so!) piece on how twelve years of devolution have failed children but that by investing in early years, we can create a better future for them. 

Feel free to take your coffee and wander over there for a read.  And have a good look at everything else on offer:  these folks are the kind of thinkers and articulates I want to be when I grow up.

So over there you get meaty, here you get gossipy….

Forgive me, for inflicting Guido Fawkes on you, but this has annoyed me for a week.  He dropped one of his little bombs that Gordon Brown’s resignation as an MP was imminent – posted on 4 April, later that week apparently – and that he would be going to the Lords, which would allow the by-election to be held on 5 May.  McTwitter rebounded the rumour, prompting the haloed Sarah to tweet furiously that it was rot.

As anyone with an inkling of knowledge about Scottish politics would know.  Guido might know his Westminster onions, but this was mince.

Why won’t it happen this side of 5 May?

  • because Gordon wouldn’t do anything to derail Scottish Labour’s campaign, or draw publicity and attention from it
  • because Labour has no reason to want to bury such a by-election – it would be a shoo-in for Labour surely, allowing Ed a big campaign to cut his teeth on
  • who runs campaigns in Scotland?  John Park.  And where is he right now?  Running the Scottish election campaign.
  • and it is he who is widely rumoured to be Gordon Brown’s handpicked successor – not much chance of him being a by-election candidate at the moment really

It doesn’t matter how disengaged Gordon is from humdrum politics these days, nor even if he and Iain Gray have so much as exchanged Christmas cards in recent months:  the ties that bind are the strongest.  Not just in Labour but the other parties too – would any of the SNP MPs choose this moment to resign their seats, even if the need was urgent?  No.

Gordon won’t resign before 5 May because he cares about Labour, and Scottish Labour, too much.   And he wants to see them back in power at Holyrood. 

Though that begs the question, why haven’t we seen him on the campaign trail yet?  Surely, Labour is going to bring its big guns into play at some point?

7 thoughts on “Why Guido was wrong about Gordon

  1. John Park is rumoured to be Gordon’s successor? That’s interesting. John Park – currently an MSP in Scotland’s diddy parliament – touted to go and play with the big boys in Westminster.

    That kind of attitude towards Scotland’s parliament is exactly why Labour has such poor MSPs in Holyrood. It’s treated as a training ground to see if you’re good enough for the proper parliament down in London. If you’re not, you get left in Holyrood and promoted to the front bench, and possibly even made party leader. I wonder if he would perform both jobs at the same time, or if – like his comrade Margaret Curran – he would stand down as an MSP so that there could be no accusations of hypocrisy after Labour attacking Salmond a few years back for being an MP and MSP at the same time. Oh wait, that’s right – she didn’t stand down.

    • John Park denies the rumours. It’s the media and everyone else who have touted it, adding up 2 +2 and getting 5. I just posited it again today to see what it might flush out….

      Others might treat the Parliament like that but I don’t think he does. And yes they are guilty of rank hypocrisy but then the SNP has thrown a few barbs in the dual mandate direction itself, while practising it.

  2. Hi Burd,

    They have brought Gordon out a lot locally in Fife especially in Dunfermline and Glenrothes. These are all marginal seats and I think they are trying to thwart the SNP in Dunf East although I doubt they will have to try, the SNP are running an awful campaign.

    • I wouldn’t have thought that Dunfermline East was on the SNP’s radar nationally? Glenrothes definitely, and now it would appear, North East Fife, but Dunfermline not a target seat. Though I have been wrong before!!

      • Woo! Northeast Fife! I go away for a few days and finally my sleepy wee constituency makes it into the list of key seats, even warranting a visit today by Big Eck himself.
        I agree that Dunfermline is surely not a seat that the SNP will be putting major resources into, especially given how close it is to so many key marginals, such as NE Fife, Mid Fife +Glenrothes, Dundee West, Clackmannan + Dunblane and Stirling. The LDs have probably given it up as a realistic also though and will be puting also their resources into holding their last remaining rural bastions.

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